香 港 大 學 亞 太 經 濟 合 作 研 究 中 心 ASIA-PACIFIC ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION STUDY CENTRE
Last Update: 10/07/2009 ©2008 HKU APEC Study Centre	The Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast is based on research conducted by the APEC Study Center of The University of Hong Kong's Faculty of Business and Economics. It aims to provide the community with timely information useful for tracking the short-term fluctuations of the economy.  The current quarter marco forecasts have been released on a quarterly basis since 1999. The high frequency forecasting system was originally developed in collaboration with Professor Lawrence Klein of the University of Pennsylvania in 1999-2000. Since then, the system has been maintained and further refined by the HKU APEC Study Center.  The project is sponsored by the Faculty of Business and Economics. The Hong Kong Centre for Economic Research at HKU provides administrative support to the project. Researchers at the APEC Study Center are solely responsible for the accuracy and interpretation of the forecasts.  　 Forecasts for Year :   2009   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003   2002   2001   2000

　

　

2009 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Release

• 2009 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 7, 2009(English)
• 2009 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 7, 2009 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2009 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 2, 2009(English)
• 2009 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 2, 2009 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2009 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 8, 2009(English)
• 2009 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 8, 2009 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2009 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 7, 2009(English)
• 2009 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 7, 2009 (Traditional Chinese)

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2009 Q1 in pdf format
• Slides for 2009 Q2 in pdf format
• Slides for 2009 Q3 in pdf format
• Slides for 2009 Q4 in pdf format

　

　

2008 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Release

• 2008 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 8, 2008 (English)
• 2008 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 8, 2008 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2008 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 3, 2008 (English)
• 2008 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 3, 2008 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2008 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 2, 2008 (English)
• 2008 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 2, 2008 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2008 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 3, 2008 (English)
• 2008 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 3, 2008 (Traditional Chinese)

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2008 Q4 in pdf format
• Slides for 2008 Q3 in pdf format
• Slides for 2008 Q2 in pdf format
• Slides for 2008 Q1 in pdf format

　

2007 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2007 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 3, 2007 (English)
• 2007 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 3, 2007 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2007 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 4, 2007 (English)
• 2007 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 4, 2007 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2007 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 11, 2007 (English)
• 2007 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 11, 2007 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2007 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 10, 2007 (English)
• 2007 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 10, 2007 (Traditional Chinese)

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2007 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2007 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2007 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2007 Q1 in pdf format

　

2006 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2006 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 10, 2006 (English)
• 2006 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 10, 2006 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2006 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 6, 2006 (English)
• 2006 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 6, 2006 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2006 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 6, 2006 (English)
• 2006 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 6, 2006 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2006 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 4, 2006 (English)
• 2006 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 4, 2006 (Traditional Chinese)

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2006 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2006 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2006 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2006 Q1 in pdf format

　

　

2005 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2005 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 5, 2005 (English)
• 2005 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 5, 2005 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2005 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 7, 2005 (English)
• 2005 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 7, 2005 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2005 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 7, 2005 (English)

• 2005 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 7, 2005 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2005 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 11, 2005 (English)
• 2005 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 11, 2005 (Traditional Chinese)

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2005 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2005 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2005 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2005 Q1 in pdf format

　

2004 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2004 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 6, 2004 (English)
• 2004 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 6, 2004 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2004 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 8, 2004 (English)
• 2004 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 8, 2004 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2004 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 7, 2004 (English)

• 2004 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 7, 2004 (Traditional Chinese)

• 2004 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 6, 2004

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2004 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2004 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2004 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2004 Q1 in pdf format

　

　

2003 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2003 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 13, 2003
• 2003 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 7, 2003
• 2003 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 10, 2003
• 2003 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 13, 2003

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2003 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2003 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2003 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2003 Q1 in pdf format

　

　

2002 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2002 Q4 Forecasts Released on September 30, 2002
• 2002 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 3, 2002
• 2002 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 2, 2002
• 2002 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 2, 2002

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2002 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2002 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2002 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2002 Q1 in pdf format

　

　

2001 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2001 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 5, 2001
• 2001 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 3, 2001
• 2001 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 9, 2001
• 2001 Q1 Forecasts Released on January 3, 2001

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2001 Q4 in pdf format

• Slides for 2001 Q3 in pdf format

• Slides for 2001 Q2 in pdf format

• Slides for 2001 Q1 in pdf format

　

　

2000 Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast

Press Releases

• 2000 Q4 Forecasts Released on October 9, 2000
• 2000 Q3 Forecasts Released on July 3, 2000
• 2000 Q2 Forecasts Released on April 3, 2000
• 2000 Q1 Forecasts Released on December 22, 1999

Presentation Slides

• Slides for 2000 Q4 in pdf format