Friday 17 August: 11:00 - 12:30
Session 1:	Official Statistics	T3
	Chair: Fred Ho
11:00 - 11:20	Several Key Areas of China's Official Statistics
	Jianwu Wen
11:20 - 11:40	Development of the Pan-statistical Industry in Taiwan
	Duan Wei
11:40 - 12:00	The Operation of Official Statistical System of Macao SAR
	Teresa Iun-Lei Mok
12:00 - 12:20	Hong Kong's Subscription to the Special Data Dissemination Standard of the IMF
	Hing-Wang Fung
Session 2:	Nonlinear Time Series I	T4
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Howell Tong
11:00 - 11:30	Semiparametric Reduced-rank Regression
	K.S. Chan
11:30 - 12:00	Semiparametric Estimation and Model Specification Testing in Nonlinear
	Econometric Models
	Jiti Gao
12:00 - 12:30	Modelling Spatio-temporal Data
	Qiwei Yao
Session 3:	Recent Advances in Nonparametric Modelling	T5
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Jianqing Fan
11:00 - 11:30	Nonparametric Seasonal Time Series Models
	Zongwu Cai
11:30 - 12:00	Goodness-of-fit Tests for Parametric Regression Models
	Jianqing Fan and Li-Shan Huang
12:00 - 12:30	Nonparametric ML-estimation for Nonstationary Time Series
	Wolfgang Polonik
Session 4:	Bayesian Statistics	T6
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: David A. van Dyk
11:00 - 11:30	Sampling Schemes and Incompatibility in Marginal Gibbs Samplers
	David A. van Dyk
11:30 - 12:00	Bayesian Approaches in Nonparametric Estimation Problems
	Linda Zhao
12:00 - 12:30	Hierarchical Spectral and Spatial Modeling for the Chandra X-ray Observatory
	David A. van Dyk, Vinay L. Kashyap and Aneta Siemiginowka
Session 5:	Statistical Inference I	T7
	Chair: Siu Hung Cheung
11:00 - 11:30	Weighted Greenwood Test for the Gamma Distribution Against Skewed
	Alternatives
	Ling Chen
11:30 - 12:00	Statistical Inference in Criterion-referenced Testing
	Xizhen Chen
12:00 - 12:30	On Simes' Test and its Extension
	Susan Xuemei Li
Session 6:	Biostatistics I	S322
	Chair: Jennifer S.K. Chan
11:00 - 11:30	Asymptotic Properties of the Survival Function Estimate for Truncated
	and Censored Dependent Data
	Qing-Ping Chen
11:30 - 12:00	A Note on Confidence Interval Estimation in Population Attributable Risk
	for a Case-control Study
	Po-Huang Chyou
12:00 - 12:30	The Prediction of the Survival Time of Hepatectomy Patients with Artificial
	Neural Network Method
	Jia He, Xian-Min He and Zhi-Jian Zhang
Session 7:	Regression Models I	S324
	Chair: Stephen M.S. Lee
11:00 - 11:30	Generalized Principal Components Estimators in Deficient Rank Linear Models
	Qing-Ming Gui
11:30 - 12:00	Ridge Type-generalized Inverse Regression Estimator in Linear Regression
	Model
	Jian-Feng Guo
12:00 - 12:30	Unbiased Estimation of the MSE Matrices of Improved Estimators in
	Linear Regression
	Alan Tze Kin Wan, Anoop Chaturvedi and Guohua Zou
Session 8:	Applied Probability I	S325
	Chair: Henghsiu Tsai
11:00 - 11:30	Repairable Consecutive-k-out-of-n: F(G) System
	Yeh Lam
11:30 - 12:00	Some Problems on Finite Markov Chains
	Guoneng Xiao
12:00 - 12:30	FFT Histogram
	Jishou Ruan

Friday 17 August: 14:00 - 15:30
Session 9:	Experiments for Factor Screening and Optimization	T3
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Lixing Zhu
14:00 - 14:30	Factor Screening and Response Surface Exploration
	Shao-Wei Cheng
14:30 - 15:00	Idle Column Method: Construction, Properties and Comparisons
	Longcheen Huwang
15:00 - 15:30	Generalized Minimum Aberration for Fractional Factorial Designs
	Boxin Tang
Session 10:	Software Applications in Statistics	T4
	Chair: Wai-Sum Chan
14:00 - 14:30	Enterprise Guide: A New Tool for Information Delivery
	C.S. Lo
14:30 - 15:00	Estimation of Binomial and Poisson Parameters When the Rate of Occurrence
	is Close to 0
	Ling-Yan Chan, Kai Wang Ng and Dennis K.J. Lin
15:00 - 15:30	How to Build Best Performance into SAS Applications - Efficiency
	Techniques and Good Programming Style Issues
	Snow Fu
Session 11:	Applied Time Series Analysis	T5
	Chair: Hong-zhi An
14:00 - 14:30	Recent Progress of Risk Management in China
	Bing Cheng
14:30 - 15:00	Projection Pursuit Learning Network and Wavelet Neural Network for
	Non-linear Time Series Modelling and Forecasting
	Zheng Tian, Xue Wang and Meipin Xie
15:00 - 15:30	Advances in Time Series Analysis with Applications in Mechanical
	Engineering
	Jianping Xuan
Session 12:	Semiparametric Modelling and Methods	T6
	Chair: Yi-Ching Yao
14:00 - 14:30	Cox Regression in Cohort Studies with Validation Sampling
	Yi-Hau Chen
14:30 - 15:00	A Semiparametric Model for Linkage Analysis of Dichotomous Traits When
	Information on a Related Quantitative Variable is Available
	Jian Huang
15:00 - 15:30	Matched Case-control Data Analysis with Non-ignorably Missing Covariates
	Myunghee Cho Paik
Session 13:	Statistics in Finance I	T7
	Chair: Heung Wong
14:00 - 14:30	Computing VaR via Nonlinear AR Models with Heavy Tailed Innovations
	Meihui Guo and Ling-Fung Li
14:30 - 15:00	Efficient Valuation of American Lookback Options
	Tze Leung Lai and Tiong Wee Lim
Session 14:	Lifetime Data Analysis I	S322
	Chair: Eddy K.F. Lam
14:00 - 14:30	On the Estimation of Order Restricted Location Parameters of Two
	Exponential Distributions Under Multiple Type-II Censoring
	He-Liang Fei and Yi-Ke Shen
14:30 - 15:00	Covariate Measurement Errors in Frailty Models for Clustered Survival Data
	Yi Li and Xihong Lin
15:00 - 15:30	A Kullback-Leibler Empirical Likelihood Inference for Censored Data
	Jian Shi and Tai-Shing Lau
Session 15:	Multivariate Methods	S324
	Chair: Kai Tai Fang
14:00 - 14:30	The Noncentral Wishart Distribution and Related Distribution
	Kaican Li
14:30 - 15:00	Sensitivity Analysis in Multivariate Methods: More About the Relationship
	Between the Influence Function and Local Influence Approaches
	Yutaka Tanaka and Fanghong Zhang
15:00 - 15:30	Stabilized Bandwidth Selectors in Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation
	Tiee-Jian Wu, Y.-K. Teng and M.-H. Tsai
Session 16:	Statistics in Epidemiology	S325
	Chair: Paul S.F. Yip
14:00 - 14:30	A Statistical Inference for Population Effectiveness of Vaccination in a
	Heterogeneous Mixing Population
	Qi-Zhi Chen, Paul S.F. Yip and Richard Huggins
14:30 - 15:00	Capturing Invariant Trend in Age-period-cohort Analysis
	Wenjiang J. Fu and Thomas E. Rohan
15:00 - 15:30	The Study of the Comprehensive Evaluation Method on Reproductive Health
	Bing-Hua Su, Jia He, Er-Sheng Gao and Chao-Hua Lou

Friday 17 August: 15:45 - 17:15
Session 17:	Econometrics I	T3
	Chair: Y.K. Tse
15:45 - 16:15	Semiparametric Estimation of Heteroscedastic Binary Choice Sample
	Selection Models Under Symmetry
	Songnian Chen
16:15 - 16:45	Principal Components and the Long Run
	Xiaohong Chen, Lars Peter Hansen and José A. Scheinkman
16:45 - 17:15	Evaluation of Out-of-sample Probability Density Forecasts with Applications
	to S&P 500 Stock Prices
	Yongmiao Hong
Session 18:	Applied Probability II	T4
	Chair: Louis Chen
15:45 - 16:15	Probability Models in DNA Sequence Analysis
	Ming-Ying Leung
16:15 - 16:45	Non-uniform Berry-Esseen Bounds for General Nonlinear Statistics
	Qi-Man Shao
16:45 - 17:15	An Overview on the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing
	Jia-An Yan
Session 19:	Reliability	T5
	Chair: Guoying Li
15:45 - 16:15	The Lower Confidence Limits of Reliability and Conditional Reliability for
	Weibull Distribution in the Life Tests with Fixed Stopping Time
	Jiading Chen, Xiangzhong Fang, Tao Wang and Zhongpeng Wei
16:15 - 16:45	System Reliability Evaluation Based on Multi-source of Components
	Information
	Guoying Li and Dan Yu
16:45 - 17:15	Analysis of Weibull Data with Only One Failure in the Context of Historical
	Data
	Xiao-Long Pu and Yang Wang
Session 20:	Biostatistics II	T6
	Chair: I-Shou Chang
15:45 - 16:15	Genome-wide Linkage Analysis of Qualitative and Quantitative Traits
	Using Markers for Sib-pairs
	I-Shou Chang, Miao-Ying Chen, Chin-Fu Hsiao and Chao A. Hsiung
16:15 - 16:45	On Sample Size Determination in Evaluation of Bridging Evidence for
	Pharmaceutical Products
	Jen-Pei Liu and Hueymiin Hsueh
16:45 - 17:15	Testing Independence for Bivariate Current Status Data
	Weijing Wang
Session 21:	Statistical Inference II	T7
	Chair: Bartholomew P.K. Leung
15:45 - 16:15	Strong Limit Theorems for U-statistics Generated by a Segment of a Sample
	Zhengyan Lin
16:15 - 16:45	Generalized Score Test of Ordered Group Effect for Correlated Data
	Annie Qu
16:45 - 17:15	Nonparametric Estimation for Spectral Density with Amplitude Modulation
	and its Application to Detection of Outliers
	Jiancheng Jiang and Y.V. Hui
Session 22:	Statistical Genetics I	S322
	Chair: Faming Liang
15:45 - 16:15	Efficiency Robust Methods in Statistical Genetics
	Joseph L. Gastwirth
16:15 - 16:45	Fine-scale Mapping with Incomplete Initial Association
	Jianping Dong, Renfang Jiang, Dai Wang and Fengzhu Sun
16:45 - 17:15	An Estimation of Genetic Distance and Cluster Analysis Applied to Breeding
	Hybrid Rice
	Jing-Bo Wang
Session 23:	Bayesian Methods	S324
	Chair: Boris S.T. Choy
15:45 - 16:15	A Bayesian Conjoint Analysis Incorporating Self-explicated Data Measured
	with Uncertainty
	Duncan K.H. Fong
16:15 - 16:45	Hierarchical Gaussian Process Mixture Models
	J.Q. Shi, R. Murray-Smith and D.M. Titterington

Friday 17 August: 17:15 - 18:45
Session 25:	Actuarial Science I	T3
	Chair: Hailiang Yang
17:15 - 17:45	Actuarial Assessment of Damages in Personal Injury Litigation:
	The Hong Kong Position and the Comparative International Aspects
	Wai-Sum Chan and Felix W.H. Chan
17:45 - 18:15	Ruin Under Interest Force and Proportional Reinsurance
	Lihu Huang
18:15 - 18:45	Bayesian Risk Measures for Derivatives via Random Esscher Transform
	Tak Kuen Siu, Howell Tong and Hailiang Yang
Session 26:	Statistics in Finance II	T4
	Chair: Kin Lam
17:15 - 17:45	The Dynamics of Implied Volatilities: A Common Principal Component
	Approach
	Wolfgang Härdle
17:45 - 18:15	Measurements of Correlation Between Random Vectors and its
	Applications to Stock Market
	Yaoting Zhang and Shiwu Zhu
Session 27:	Design of Experiments	T5
	Chair: Zhidong Bai
17:15 - 17:45	Optimal Designs for Estimating a Function
	Shenghua Kelly Fan and Kathryn Chaloner
17:45 - 18:15	Characterization of Minimum Generalized Aberration of Non-Regular
	Designs in Terms of their Complementary Designs
	Hong Qin and Kai-Tai Fang
Session 28:	Time Series I	T6
	Chair: Cathy W.S. Chen
17:15 - 17:45	The Models of Time Series Aggregates
	Erin Hodgess, Susanna Wei and William W.S. Wei
17:45 - 18:15	Asymptotic Theory for Nonparametric Entropy Measures of Serial
	Dependence
	Yongmiao Hong and Halbert White
18:15 - 18:45	Mixture Type Time Series Models
	Chun Shan Wong
Session 29:	Clinical Trials I	T7
	Chair: May C.M. Wong
17:15 - 17:45	Planning and Design Issues for the Early Detection of Disease
	Ping Hu
17:45 - 18:15	On Choice of Endpoints for Testing Treatment Effects in Longitudinal
	Clinical Studies
	Frank Guanghan Liu
18:15 - 18:45	On the Estimation of the Prevalence of Psychiatric Disorders in Shatin
	Tai-Shing Lau and Siu-Ngan Leung
Session 30:	Statistical Computing	S322
	Chair: Wai Cheung Ip
17:15 - 17:45	Modeling Techniques in Computer Experiments
	Wai-Man Ho
17:45 - 18:15	Building Web Time-Series Forecasting Systems on Stocks with UML
	Andy S.Y. Lai
18:15 - 18:45	Analysis and Improvement of Quasi-regression
	Lu Lin, Runchu Zhang and Guijun Yang
Session 31:	Mixed Effect Models I	S324
	Chair: Zongwu Cai
17:15 - 17:45	Generalized Non-parametric Mixed Effects Model
	Yuedong Wang and Peter Karcher
17:45 - 18:15	Local Polynomial Mixed-effects Models for Longitudinal Data
	Hulin Wu and Jin-Ting Zhang
Session 32:	Ranked Set Sampling	S325
	Chair: Chi-Ming Luk
17:15 - 17:45	Ranked Set Sampling with Unequal Samples
	Dinesh S. Bhoj
17:45 - 18:15	Ranked Set Sampling in the Presence of Censored Data
	Philip L.H. Yu and Cannes Y.C. Tam

Saturday 18 August: 09:00 - 10:00
Keynote address		RHT
Chair: Howell Tong
Nonparametric Estimation of Component Distributions in a Multivariate Mixture
Peter Hall

Saturday 18 August: 10:30 - 12:00
Session 33:	Mixed Effects Models II	T3
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Jiming Jiang
10:30 - 11:00	Robust Estimation in Generalized Linear Mixed Models
	Jiming Jiang and Weihong Zhang
11:00 - 11:30	Estimation of U.S. State Level Health Characteristics from the U.S. National
	Health Interview Survey: An Empirical Best Prediction Approach
	Partha Lahiri, Shu-Mei Wan and Chien-Hua Wu
11:30 - 12:00	Influence Diagnostics in Generalized Linear Mixed Models
	Liming Xiang, Andy H. Lee and Siu-Keung Tse
Session 34:	Time Series II	T4
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: George Tiao
10:30 - 11:00	Time-dependent Diffusion Models for Term Structure Dynamics and the
	Stock Price Volatility
	Jianqing Fan, Jiancheng Jiang, Chunming Zhang and Zhenwei Zhou
11:00 - 11:30	Some Results on Cointegration with Random Coefficients in the Error
	Correction Form : Estimation and Testing
	Pak-Wing Fong and Wai-Keung Li
11:30 - 12:00	Generalized Continuous Threshold Autoregression
	Samuel P. Wong
Session 35:	Statistical Methods in Epidemiogical Studies	T5
	Chair: Zhi Geng
10:30 - 11:00	An Amending Method for Multi-dimensional Time Series with Heavy
	Missing Data and its Application in Environment Monitoring
	Ying-Dong Zheng and Ji-Qian Fang
11:00 - 11:30	Confounding and Collapsibility Based on Partial Knowledge of Causal
	Diagrams
	Zhi Geng and Guangwei Li
11:30 - 12:00	Identification of Parameters in Two Way Contingency Tables with
	Nonignorable Nonresponse
	Wenqing Ma and Yonghua Hu
Session 36:	Applied Probability and Stochastic Modelling	T6
	Chair: Wen-Jang Huang
10:30 - 11:00	Thinning of Renewal Processes
	Wen-Jang Huang
11:00 - 11:30	Some Results on Inference for a Piecewise-Monotone Intensity of a
	Poisson Process
	Mei-Mei Zen
11:30 - 12:00	Multidimensional Markov Renewal Theory, Ladder Variables and First
	Passage Problems for Markov Random Walks
	Cheng-Der Fuh and Tze Leung Lai
Session 37:	Statistical Inference III	T7
	Chair: Sik Yum Lee
10:30 - 11:00	Estimation of the Scale Parameter for Logistic Sensitivity Distribution
	Yubin Tian, Guoying Li and Jie Yang
11:00 - 11:30	Finite Sample Calibration for Empirical Likelihood Ratio
	Min Tsao
11:30 - 12:00	Statistical Depth Functions and Related Estimators
	Yijun Zuo
Session 38:	Data Mining	S322
	Chair: Philip L.H. Yu
10:30 - 11:00	A New Algorithm for Logistic Regression Trees
	Kin-Yee Chan
11:00 - 11:30	Clustering Under Contiguity Constraints: Penalized K-Means
	Zhen Luo
11:30 - 12:00	Tree-based Classification of Tumor Tissues with Microarray Data
	Heping Zhang
Session 39:	Semiparametric Models	S324
	Chair: Qiwei Yao
10:30 - 11:00	Inference for the Odds-Rate Model
	Bee Leng Lee
11:00 - 11:30	Regression Analysis for a Semiparametric Model with Panel Data
	Liu-Quan Sun
11:30 - 12:00	Edgeworth Expansion and Bootstrap Approximation of the Random
	Weighting M-estimates for Semi-parametric Regression Models
	Xuanmin Zhao and Yaning Tang
Session 40:	Resampling Methods	S325
	Chair: Bing-Yi Jing
10:30 - 11:00	Weighted Bootstrap Prepivoting
	Stephen M.S. Lee and G. Alastair Young
11:00 - 11:30	A New Imputation Method for Missing Data and its Applications
	Guohua Zou, Yingfu Li and Shiyong Feng

Saturday 18 August: 13:30 - 15:00
Session 41:	Risk Management	T3
	Chair: Ngai Hang Chan
13:30 - 13:50	Multivariate Long Memory Stochastic Volatility
	N.H. Chan and Giovanni Petris
13:50 - 14:10	Modeling the U.S. Short-term Interest Rate by Mixture Autoregressive
	Processes
	Markku Lanne and Pentti Saikkonen
14:10 - 14:30	Physical Delivery versus Cash Settlement: An Empirical Study on the
	Feeder Cattle Contract
	Donald Lien and Y.K. Tse
14:30 - 14:50	Pro-active Risk Management for the Hong Kong Banking Industry
	Andy K. So
Session 42:	Sequential Designs with Applications	T4
	Chair: Weng Kee Wong
13:30 - 14:00	The k-time Look-ahead Rule
	Thomas S. Ferguson
14:00 - 14:30	Group Sequential Methods and Adaptive Choice Between Superiority and
	Non-inferiority Trials
	Tze Leung Lai, Mei-Chiung Shih and Guangrui Zhu
14:30 - 15:00	Adaptive Designs in Clinical Trials
	Gordon Kuang-Kuo Lan
Session 43:	Asymptotics in Regression Analysis	T5
	Chair: Lincheng Zhao
13:30 - 14:00	Testing for Additivity with B-splines in Nonparametric Regression
	Hengjian Cui, Xuming He and Li Liu
14:00 - 14:30	The Rate of Convergence for the Least Squares Estimator in Nonlinear
	Regression Model
	Shu-He Hu
14:30 - 15:00	Strong Consistency of M-estimates in Linear Models
	Lincheng Zhao
Session 44:	Ecological and Environmental Statistics	T6
	Chair: Anne Chao
13:30 - 14:00	Air Pollution Effects on Daily Clinic Visits for Lower Respiratory Illness
	Jing-Shiang Hwang and Chang-Chuan Chan
14:00 - 14:30	Inference of Population Size for Capture-Recapture Models via Gibbs
	Sampling
	Shen-Ming Lee, Wen-Han Hwang and Li-Hui Huang
14:30 - 15:00	Robust Design and the Use of Auxiliary Variables in Estimating Population
	Size for an Open Model
	Paul S.F. Yip
Session 45:	Nonlinear Time Series II	T7
	Chair: Chor Yiu Sin
13:30 - 14:00	Goodness-of-fit Tests for Stochastic Volatility Models
	Song Xi Chen
14:00 - 14:30	On Estimation of Fractionally Integrated ARMA-GARCH Models
	Cathy W.S. Chen and Ming-Tsung Liu
14:30 - 15:00	Posterior Mode Estimation and Likelihood Inference for Nonlinear and
	Non-Gaussian State Space Models
	Mike K.P. So
Session 46:	Clinical Trials II	S322
	Chair: Jiading Chen
13:30 - 14:00	Generalized Pòlya Urn Model with Applications to Adaptive Designs in
	Clinical Trials
	Zhidong Bai
14:00 - 14:30	Optimal Design in the Clinical Trials with General Urn Models
	Guijing Chen, Yuming Chen, Z.D. Bai and F.F. Hu
14:30 - 15:00	Optimal Adaptive Designs for Clinical Trials
	Feifang Hu
Session 47:	Monte Carlo Methods	S324
	Chair: Koon Shing Kwong
13:30 - 14:00	Importance Sampling of Large Deviation Probabilities with Applications
	in Sequential Hypothesis Tests and Change-point Detection
	Hock Peng Chan and Tze Leung Lai
14:00 - 14:30	Dynamic Importance Sampling in Monte Carlo Computation
	Faming Liang
14:30 - 15:00	An Algorithm of MCMC Method for Solving Algebra Equation
	Zukang Zheng
Session 48:	Statistics in Engineering Sciences	S325
	Chair: Siu-Keung Tse
13:30 - 14:00	Control Limits for Radiated Emission Testing of the Electronic Technology
	Equipment
	Mong-Na Lo Huang, Kam-Fai Wong, David Y. Wang and Ken-Hung Lin
14:00 - 14:30	Multistage Quality Control Combining SPC and EPC
	Fugee Tsung
14:30 - 15:00	The Average Absolute Deviation and its Application to Shewhart`X Control
	Chart
	Zhaojun Wang

Saturday 18 August: 15:15 - 16:45
Session 49:	Time Series III	T3
	Chair: Kung Sik Chan
15:15 - 15:45	Statistical Inference of Diffusion Processes Based on Discrete-time Data
	Henghsiu Tsai
15:45 - 16:15	A Semiparametric Approach to Time Series
	Yingcun Xia
16:15 - 16:45	On Tail Behaviour of Some GARCH Models
	Zhiqiang Zhang
Session 50:	General Statistics	T4
	Chair: Xuming He
15:15 - 15:45	Statistical Model Assessment and Model Choice
	Marianthi Markatou and Bruce G. Lindsay
15:45 - 16:15	Comparing the Shapes of Regression Functions
	Nancy E. Heckman and Ruben H. Zamar
16:15 - 16:45	Bounded Response Regression
	Douglas Simpson
Session 51:	Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods	T5
	Chair: Fred J. Hickernell
15:15 - 15:45	Construction of Uniform Designs and Latin Hypercube Designs by Collapsing,
	Folding and Other Methods
	Kai-Tai Fang
15:45 - 16:15	Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods for Integration and Simulation in Statistics Problems
	Fred J. Hickernell
16:15 - 16:45	Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Computational Finance
	Ken Seng Tan
Session 52:	Latent Variables Model	T6
	Chair: Alan Tze Kin Wan
15:15 - 15:45	Generalized Factor Analysis: A Preliminary Result
	Fu-Chang Hu and Shu-Hui Lai
15:45 - 16:15	Latent Transition Analysis for Discrete Survival Data: An Adolescence
	Depression Development Paradigm
	Chih-Chien Yang, Chih-Chiang Yang and Chyi-In Wu
Session 53:	Human Genetics	T7
	Chair: Wing K. Fung
15:15 - 15:45	The Analysis of Mixed Stains in Forensic DNA
	Wing K. Fung
15:45 - 16:15	Hypothesis Choices in Forensic DNA Statistics
	Anders Stockmarr
16:15 - 16:45	Some Problems in Microarray Analysis
	Wing Hung Wong
Session 54:	Applied Probability III	S322
	Chair: Yeh Lam
15:15 - 15:45	Structural Properties of Bandit Problems
	Xikui Wang
15:45 - 16:15	Second Order Approximations for Some Problems in Optimal Stopping
	Yi-Ching Yao
16:15 - 16:45	Rates of Convergence for Empirical Processes of f -mixing Sequences
	Indexed by a Unbounded Class of Functions
	Dixin Zhang
Session 55:	Lifetime Data Analysis II	S324
	Chair: Ping Shing Chan
15:15 - 15:45	Statistical Analysis of Interval-censored Survival Data
	Tony Jianguo Sun
15:45 - 16:15	Bayesian Statistical Analysis of Progressive Stress Accelerated Life Testing
	of Log-normal Distributions Under CE Model
	Yin-Cai Tang
16:15 - 16:45	Coincidence and Equivalence of the Tampered Random Variable(TRV),
	Tampered Failure Rate(TFR) and Cumulative Exposure(CE) Models
	Rong-Hua Wang and He-Liang Fei

Saturday 18 August: 16:45 - 18:15
Session 57:	Time Series IV	T3
	Chair: Mike K.P. So
16:45 - 17:15	Selecting among Nested Time Series Models with Unit Roots and Cointegration
	Chor-Yiu Sin
17:15 - 17:45	An Approximate Bayesian Algorithm for Combining Forecasts
	Kim Hung Li, Heung Wong and Marvin Troutt
17:45 - 18:15	Testing Model Adequacy for Dynamic Panel Data with Intercorrelation
	Bo Fu, Wai Keung Li and Wing Kam Fung
Session 58:	Structural Equation Models	T4
	Chair: Hing Wang Fung
16:45 - 17:15	Development of Nonlinear Structural Equation Models
	Sik-Yum Lee
17:15 - 17:45	Structural Equation Models for Longitudinal Study on Behavior Change
	Xiaowu Sun
Session 59:	Design of Experiments	T5
	Chair: Similey Cheng
16:45 - 17:15	A General Constructing Method of Mixed-level Supersaturated Design with
	Small Number of Experimental Runs
	Shu Yamada, Dennis K.J. Lin and Michiyo Matsui
17:15 - 17:45	Sequential Design with Foldover Technique
	Tsz Ho Yim and Wai-Man Ho
Session 60:	Spatial Statistics	T6
	Chair: Hong-Tu Zhu
16:45 - 17:15	Spatial Local Linear Regression
	Marc Hallin, Zudi Lu and Lanh Tat Tran
17:15 - 17:45	Optimal Interpolation for Spatial Non-Gaussian Variables
	Hao Zhang
Session 61:	Regression Models II	T7
	Chair: Jiahua Chen
16:45 - 17:15	Robust Design for Multi-response Regression Models
	Rong-Xian Yue
17:15 - 17:45	A Study of the Equivalence of the MINQUEs Between a Partitioned
	Singular Linear Model and its Reduced Singular Linear Models
	Bao-Xue Zhang, Bai-Sen Liu and Yu-Bin Tian
17:45 - 18:15	Research on the Some Question About Selection of Independent Variables
	Jing-Xuan Tao
Session 62:	Applied Probability IV	S322
	Chair: Jia-An Yan
16:45 - 17:15	Instability and Extinction of Single Birth Chains in Random Environment
	YingQiu Li
17:15 - 17:45	Applications of Feller-Reuter Semigroup
	Anyue Chen
Session 63:	Statistics in Society	S324
	Chair: Tom P.W. Fong
16:45 - 17:15	Great Expectations
	Beda Chan
17:15 - 17:45	Removal Process Estimation of Population Size for a Population with a
	Known Sex Ratio
	Liping Liu and Paul S.F. Yip
17:45 - 18:15	A Statistical Analysis of a Closed Bidding System - The Case of Certificate
	of Entitlement in Singapore
	Yiu-Man Chan

Sunday 19 August: 09:00 - 10:30
Session 65:	Inverse Bayes Method	T3
	Chair: Kai Wang Ng
09:00 - 09:30	Some Properties of the Family of Inverted Probability Loss Functions
	Fred A. Spiring, Bartholomew P.K. Leung
09:30 - 10:00	Inverse Bayes Formulae Based Methods for Bayesian Computation
	Ming Tan, Guoliang Tian and Kai Wang Ng
10:00 - 10:30	IBF Sampler: A Noniterative Sampling Method for Bayesian Computation
	Ming Tan and Guoliang Tian
Session 66:	Statistical Genetics II	T4
	Chair: Zhiliang Ying
09:00 - 09:30	Fine Mapping Disease Genes Using Multiple Tightly Linked Markers
	Hongyu Zhao
09:30 - 10:00	Nested Linear Models for Linkage and Candidate-gene Association Analysis:
	A Unified Approach to Haseman and Elston Procedures
	Zhaohai Li
10:00 - 10:30	A Composite Likelihood Ratio Test for Linkage Based on a Semiparametric
	Normal Copula Model for Quantitative Trait Data
	Jian Huang
Session 67:	Survey Sampling I	T5
	Chair: Anthony Y.C. Kuk
09:00 - 09:30	Using Empirical Likelihood Methods to Obtain Range Restricted Weights
	in Regression Estimators for Surveys
	Jiahua Chen
09:30 - 10:00	Variance Components for Complex Surveys and Their Applications
	Jun Liu
10:00 - 10:30	Information Recovery in a Study with Surrogate Endpoints
	Denis H.Y. Leung and Jing Qin
Session 68:	Change-Point Problems and Applications	T6
	Chair: Inchi Hu
09:00 - 10:00	Change-point Like Problems in Genetics
	David Siegmund
10:00 - 10:30	CUSUM Procedure in Hidden Markov Models
	Cheng-Der Fuh
Session 69:	Time Series V	T7
	Chair: Sammuel P. Wong
09:00 - 09:30	Recursive Least Squares Estimator with Combinatorically Exponential
	Window in Vector Autoregression
	Hongzhi An and Zhiguo Li
09:30 - 10:00	Analysing Features of Time Series
	Gemai Chen
10:00 - 10:30	On Estimating the Number of the Smallest Eigenvalues
	Pinyuen Chen
Session 70:	Biostatistics III	S322
	Chair: Tai Shing Lau
09:00 - 09:30	A Modified Dunnett and Tamhane Step-up Approach for Establishing Superiority/
	Equivalence of a New Treatment Compared with k Standard Treatments
	Koon-Shing Kwong
09:30 - 10:00	Log-Rank Tests When the Main Interest is in Detecting Early and/or Late
	Treatment Differences, with Application to AIDS Clinical Trials
	Lang Wu
10:00 - 10:30	Integrating Quality-of-life Measurement into Causal Inference
	Junni Zhang
Session 71:	Actuarial Science II	S324
	Chair: Lihu Huang
09:00 - 09:30	The Probability of Ruin on a Class of Renewal Risk Processes Model
	Rongming Wang
09:30 - 10:00	Upper Bounds for Ruin Probability in an Autoregressive Model with Constant
	Interest Rate
	Hailiang Yang and Lihong Zhang
10:00 - 10:30	The Compound Poisson Approximation of Individual Risk Models
	Xiande Li, Jingping Yang, Zhenyong Zhang

Sunday 19 August: 10:45 - 12:15
Session 73:	Spatial Statistics	T3
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Minggao Gu
10:45 - 11:15	The Statistical Analysis of Brain Mapping Data
	Keith Worsley
11:15 - 11:45	Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Spatial Models by Markov Chain Monte
	Carlo Stochastic Approximation
	Hong-Tu Zhu
Session 74:	Econometrics II	T4
	Chair: Shi-Qing Ling
10:45 - 11:15	Wavelet-based Testing for Serial Correlation of Unknown Form in Panel Models
	Yongmiao Hong and Chihwa Kao
11:15 - 11:45	An Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous-time
	Diffusions
	Y.K. Tse and X.B. Zhang
11:45 - 12:15	Exact Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Term
	Structure of Interest Rates
	Peter C.B. Phillips and Jun Yu
Session 75:	Survey Sampling II	T5
	(Co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics)
	Chair: Ka Ho Wu
10:45 - 11:15	A Unified Theory for Design Consistent Efficient Small-area Estimators
	Under Unit Level Models
	Jiming Jiang and P. Lahiri
11:15 - 11:45	Estimation of Distribution Function and Quantiles Using the Model-Calibrated
	Pseudo Empirical Likelihood Method
	Changbao Wu
Session 76:	Statistics in Physical Sciences	T6
	Chair: Baiqi Miao
10:45 - 11:15	Analysis of Hybrid Selection/Maximal-Ratio Combining in Gamma Fading
	Chang Yun Bai and Peter J. Smith
11:15 - 11:45	The Application of Statistics and Fuzzy Theory in Coronal Mass Ejection(CME)
	Properties Study
	Z.Z. Han and Y.H. Tang and A.A. Xu
Session 77:	Generalized Linear Models	T7
	Chair: Yiu Man Chan
10:45 - 11:15	Dispersion Models for Longitudinal Data
	Peter Song
11:15 - 11:45	Modelling Contextual Variables in Logistic Regressions
	Hongjian Yu and E. Richard Brown
11:45 - 12:15	Robust Estimating Functions for the Analysis of Quantitative Longitudinal Data
	MingXiu Hu and John M. Lachin
Session 78:	Lifetime Data Analysis III	S322
	Chair: K.C. Yuen
10:45 - 11:15	Simple Statistical Methods Based on Weibull-to-Exponential Transformation
	Zhenlin Yang
11:15 - 11:45	Testing Equality of Survival Functions of Quality Adjusted Lifetime
	Hongwei Zhao and Anastasios A. Tsiatis
11:45 - 12:15	Comparing k Cumulative Incidence Functions Through Resampling Methods
	K.C. Yuen, L.X. Zhu and D. Zhang